Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.114842 0.123180 0.131813 0.141427 0.151840 0.162784 0.175168
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.097906 0.109716 0.122560 0.137591 0.154737 0.173724 0.196398
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.090783 0.104821 0.120607 0.139732 0.162350 0.188339 0.220591
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.083254 0.098430 0.115958 0.137787 0.164369 0.195839 0.236147
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.077447 0.093438 0.112334 0.136437 0.166538 0.203121 0.251295
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.071571 0.087871 0.107517 0.133100 0.165768 0.206392 0.261217
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.067389 0.084073 0.104552 0.131735 0.167165 0.212181 0.274345
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.064303 0.081429 0.102810 0.131706 0.170104 0.219889 0.290162
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.060726 0.077936 0.099754 0.129720 0.170246 0.223769 0.300842
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.057933 0.075302 0.097643 0.128806 0.171663 0.229278 0.313862
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.057155 0.075267 0.098913 0.132428 0.179329 0.243553 0.339765
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.054770 0.072947 0.096986 0.131536 0.180626 0.248945 0.353128
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.052262 0.070392 0.094681 0.130078 0.181142 0.253377 0.365526
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.049233 0.066998 0.091081 0.126628 0.178635 0.253321 0.371226
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.048221 0.066363 0.091278 0.128575 0.183993 0.264915 0.395059
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.046095 0.064057 0.089004 0.126804 0.183735 0.268086 0.405970
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.044281 0.062121 0.087168 0.125574 0.184187 0.272279 0.418604
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.042048 0.059488 0.084214 0.122536 0.181718 0.271823 0.423681
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.040472 0.057756 0.082508 0.121292 0.181927 0.275482 0.435548
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.039333 0.056622 0.081635 0.121265 0.184001 0.282123 0.452610
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.037772 0.054803 0.079666 0.119456 0.183156 0.284019 0.461736
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.036556 0.053459 0.078363 0.118623 0.183813 0.288337 0.475147
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.036466 0.053818 0.079656 0.121924 0.191278 0.304119 0.509201